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To invest gold and silver in 2022 or not?


Can gold and silver be out of investment in 2022 as well?



For precious metals investors, 2021 will rank as a disappointing year -- at least in terms of price performance.

Gold showed signs of an upward move in the spring, but prices returned to a wide trading range for the rest of the year.

Silver underperformed gold in the second half of the year as prices failed to reflect rising industrial demand.


Happy new year and welcome to this week's Market Rap podcast, I'm Mike Gleason.


In this special year-end edition of the Money Metals podcast, we'll look at that year and look forward to the year that could happen in 2022.


For precious metals investors, 2021 will rank as a disappointing year -- at least in terms of price performance. Gold and silver lagged the stock market as well as the broad commodity index.


Gold showed signs of an upward move in the spring, but prices returned to a wide trading range for the rest of the year. The monetary metal is down about 4% for the year but will end well from its lows. On Thursday, it closed at $1,821 an ounce.


Turning to silver, the white metal currently checks in at $23.12 an ounce and will end 2021 down more than 10%.


Silver underperformed gold in the second half of the year as prices failed to reflect rising industrial demand. Mining production also recovered from the 2020 pandemic. But the Silver Institute forecast a supply shortfall for 2022.


At some point, these bullish supply and demand dynamics will translate into some big upside price moves. Meanwhile, silver represents a great bargaining opportunity for value investors.


Platinum could also be an attractive value opportunity here. As of this Thursday evening's recording, the platinum market is trading at $974 an ounce, down nearly 10% for the year.


And finally, Palladium suffered the biggest price drop of the year. After reaching a new all-time high - after touching the $3,000 level in the spring - palladium closed below $2,000 an ounce on Thursday, though we saw it a couple of weeks ago.


Despite inflation hitting a multi-decade high in 2021, metals were considered outclassed by Wall Street. The S&P 500 set new record after new record, reducing the appeal of gold's safe haven.


Stock rises on optimism. The tendency to sleep on pessimism increases.


Mainstream investors clearly believe the statement that the economy will continue to recover rather than enter a stalemate.


But the so-called recovery is largely an illusion. Stability and inflation are key economic realities for the millions of Americans who are not participating in Fed-fueled bull markets.


In addition to rising stocks, the housing market is up nearly 20% in 2021. This is great news for homeowners. Bad news for those trying to save up for a down payment.


Their cost of living is exceeding their earnings. But their economic plight is not fully reflected in the Consumer Price Index, which omits real home prices and employs various other statistical gimmicks to tame inflation.


Still, the CPI rose in 2021 to its warmest reading since 1982, falling to 6.8%. Meanwhile, average hourly earnings increased 4.8% year over year. When measured by the CPI this represents a purchasing power loss of 2% – more when considering other measures of inflation.


A tsunami of massive deficit spending is still coming down the pike in 2022 and beyond.


One aspect of the Biden agenda that will lead to a broad bipartisan agreement is monetary policy. When it comes to supporting central bankers in their efforts to suppress interest rates and buy trillions of dollars in government bonds, the Washington, DC establishment marches in almost-total lockstep.


Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is likely to be confirmed for a second term.


For ordinary Americans, Fed policies have contributed to the rising cost of living. They are constantly destroying the value of savings deposited in bank accounts or invested in bonds.


The erosion of the purchasing power of money is not transitory. It is a permanent feature of our monetary system.



The inevitable drop in major bull markets is temporary. Yes, precious metals had a declining year. But the centuries-long track record of gold and silver in maintaining purchasing power is unmatched by any other asset class.


Their record of price increases over the past two decades suggests the metals have the potential to bounce back and outperform in the coming years – especially if stagflation becomes a major economic theme starting in 2022.


Well, he will do it for this week and for this year. Be sure to check back next week for our first weekly Market Wrap podcast of 2022. Until then, it's been Mike Gleason with Money Metals Exchange, thanks for listening, and happy new year everyone


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